Asia update Spring 2025.
In todays Asia Weather update weather now has begun the spring tradition in Asia.
Asia:
Asia weather update Early April 2025: As Asia readies for the weather oscillation from Winter 2025 into the Spring/Summer 2025 months find that convection/monsoon/tropical low effects will move into the south east Asia areas due to seasonal changes with a change to a Neutral ENSO forecasted soon. The forecasters have indicated for April - May of 2025 that the effects of the La-Nina are waning and a move to the neutral phase of the ENSO will begin soon. Some weather may appear within the Bay of Bengal this week Early April.
When the Meiyu Front appears around early June to Mid July thunderstorms are active in the afternoons and evenings due to daytime heating creating instability in areas the Front affects.
At times in the Asia 2025 spring summer months the MJO will play an important part in Weather affecting the Indian Equatorial Seas/MC along with the change to a Neutral ENSO soon (within 1 month from March 2025) to bring weather to South East Asia in the form of average rains and convection to localised areas when Neutral conditions begin. Storms and Typhoons may form when and if they do happen at an average output interacting with the active MJO pulse should one arrive in the Maritime Continent.
In the form of perceived Typhoon rates in the South East Asia area the shift to a Neutral ENSO soon after March 2025 may indicate that the South East Asia area will undergo normal climate patterns that may in turn mean that Typhoon/Storm output in the Area is neither Higher or Lower in Summer 2025 due to the shift to a Neutral ENSO in this interim.
MJO: Will remain in the West Pacific equator area from Late March then into 15th - 18th of April 2025 remains in the region active (PNG straights). Then after begin the move to the South East Africa area after 18th April 2025. Then become somewhat active at the South East Africa regions near late Mid April 2025 south of the equator.
STJ/Westerly Jet: The icy grip of snow begins retreating after a cold winter as the Asian regions warms within April spring 2025. Not Surprisingly as we have instructed in our lesson on the Upper Levels any change to the type of upper level pattern that aligns with what brings cold icy weather will bring an abrupt change to weather in South Korea on the ground. Seoul for the first time since 1907 experienced its first day of cold winter conditions in April.
ENSO: In South East Asia for late March-April 2025 a move soon to a Neutral ENSO is confirmed for the region as the Asia area is within Spring 2025.
EAT: From late march 2025-April 2025 the presence of the Large Semi Stationary East Asia Trough becomes more prominent. Within weeks from April the Plum Rains (Meiyu Front) system may begin. The Trough will bring rains/possible convection to South China and East Asia this week at end of March 2025. This signals the arrival into the spring-summer pattern whereby the trough activates weather features in East Asia. A region of weather may affect South and East China from around april 11th 2025. A region of weather moves through North East Asia around the 13th April 2025.
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Convection T Storms: Convection has been picked up in the East Bay of Bengal/Near Bangkok/Southern Phillippinnes waters (Indo)/West South China seas on 16th April 2025 over the last few hours.